The game of Conspirators ON to form next government of India
The current election scenario seems to move in a hazy direction. The trend in this election followed by last couple of Lok Sabha election show that Congress (I) will emerge as biggest party and I expect UPA to gain seats between 198-215 seats. If I have to give one number for seats that UPA will gather, I will say 205(+ or -3).
The problem is to finally reach destiny. Left party that seems to be king maker are not willing to support Congress led government but again, as Budhhadeb said Congress is not untouchable for them but for Karat , Dr. Manmohan Singh and US is.
Therefore in order to get support of Left party and do some ego-massage, Congress will have to change its options for post of PM. Then the best suitable option that Congress has for post of PM is Pranab Mukherjee.
Left will be pleased to support Mukherjee as PM because in case it will not support UPA to form government, there will be re-election. The current election will act as survey for allies of UPA left after Vote of Confidence motion won by UPA. The seat sharing will be then more efficient and Congress (I) will be able to reach close to majority. It will then easily form government with support of few independent candidates.
I do feel some possibility of Ram Vilas Paswan becoming next PM but it would not be possible without support of Congress. The reason for considering Ram Vilas Paswan possible choice for PM is that he is a dalit politician. He is secular and has no rift with key parties like Left, Congress and BJP.
But still Left and BJP will never come together. It can happen at the time Left will be willing commit political suicide. Paswan can possibly become if Congress, Third and Fourth front join hands together which is not possible as of now. If elections are again conducted and even then no party is able to form government, then in that case Ram Vilas Paswan will be an ideal candidate for post of PM.
Whatsoever may be the result of this Lok Sabha election, there are very bleak chances of Dr. Manmohan Singh becoming next PM.
